Title The role of heart rate variability, heart rate turbulence, and deceleration capacity in predicting cause-specific mortality in chronic heart failure.
Author Al-Zaiti, Salah S; Pietrasik, Grzegorz; Carey, Mary G; Alhamaydeh, Mohammad; Canty, John M; Fallavollita, James A
Journal J Electrocardiol Publication Year/Month 2019-Jan-Feb
PMID 30476644 PMCID PMC7505053
Affiliation + expend 1.University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States of America. Electronic address: ssa33@pitt.edu.

BACKGROUND: The volume of regional denervated myocardium (D-M) on positron emission tomography has been recently suggested as a strong independent predictor of cause-specific mortality from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) in chronic heart failure. We sought to evaluate whether ECG indices of global autonomic function predict risk of SCA to a similar degree as regional D-M. METHODS: Subjects enrolled in the Prediction of Arrhythmic Events using Positron Emission Tomography (PAREPET) study were included in this study. Patients completed a 24-hour Holter ECG at enrollment and were followed up at 3-month intervals. SCA events were adjudicated by two board-certified cardiologists. Other cardiovascular death events were classified as nonsudden cardiac death (NSCD). Eight measures of heart rate variability were analyzed: SDNN, RMSSD, low-frequency (LF) and high-frequency (HF) power, heart rate turbulence onset and slope, and acceleration and deceleration capacity. We used competing risk regression to delineate cause-specific mortality from SCA versus NSCD. RESULTS: Our sample included 127 patients (age 67鈥?/-鈥?2, 92% male). After a median follow-up of 4.1鈥痽ears, there were 22 (17%) adjudicated SCA and 18 (14%) adjudicated NSCD events. In multivariate Cox-regression, LF power was the only HRV parameter to predict time-to-SCA. However, in competing risk analysis, reduced LF power was preferentially associated with NSCD rather than SCA (HR鈥?鈥?.92 [0.85-0.98], p鈥?鈥?.019). CONCLUSION: Depressed LF power might indicate impaired vagal reflex, which suggests that increasing vagal tone in these patients would have a protective effect against NSCD beyond that achieved by the mere slowing of heart rate using beta-blockers.

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